BASEBALL · MLB · CORRECT

New York Yankees v Boston Red Sox

Starts 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC

Settled · this game has finished

Pick correct · final 9 — 2

Before the start we selected New York Yankees to win with medium confidence. That selection was correct. The analysis below is the original pre-game record, kept unchanged.

Pre-game selection · match winner

NEW YORK YANKEES TO WIN

PRE-GAME CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM

New York Yankees come into this with recent form, scoring balance, home and away records in their favour on the completed games we hold. New York Yankees 67% wins in the last six, Boston Red Sox 50%. None of this rules Boston Red Sox out, and our free source for this sport publishes no availability news to factor in.

Locked 2026-09-30 23:00 — the pick, confidence and this explanation cannot change from that moment.

Outcome

CORRECT · 9 — 2

Result verified from MLB Stats API.

Why the rules chose it

  • Recent form
  • Scoring balance
  • Home and away records

!Main risk: Boston Red Sox come in with enough recent scoring to turn this if New York Yankees start slowly.

Factors weighed

Recent formhome
New York Yankees 67% wins in the last six, Boston Red Sox 50%.
Scoring balancehome
1.1 runs per game better than opponents for New York Yankees, -1.4 for Boston Red Sox.
Home and away recordshome
New York Yankees 75% at home, Boston Red Sox 38% away.
New York Yankees probable pitchernone
Max Fried
Boston Red Sox probable pitchernone
Sonny Gray

Data checked

  • 39 completed games on record for New York Yankees
  • 40 completed games on record for Boston Red Sox
  • Fixture and results from MLB Stats API

Source: MLB Stats API

What we did not have

  • No injury list feed
  • No bullpen or handedness splits
  • No ballpark weather

Game Analysis is informational sports analysis. It describes what the verified data shows and never guarantees an outcome.